Sunday, January 8, 2012

The GOP nomination race

I firmly believe that Mitt Romney, the paradoxical frontrunner, will (and was always going to) win the nomination. I say paradoxical because while he is the "frontrunner" he is not really seen in that light, neither by leaders of the Republican party nor voters themselves. Yet he has never had a truly lasting opponent within the Republican party for the 2012 nomination. Though Santorum had a strong showing in the Iowa caucus, he is not likely to make much of an appearance in the New Hampshire primary where Romney is expected to do very well. In addition, opponents like Gingrich and Kerry are either too extreme in their ideals or have failed to make a significant impact on the campaign, traits that will not allow them to pick up the moderates in the Republican party (meaning the majority of votes). In that case, then, Romney will continue to be the unwanted favorite of the Republican party.

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